Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.736118e-05 2.093315e-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047
2025-11-23 1.273069e-05 1.728095e-05 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058
2025-11-30 9.630932e-06 1.456342e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000052 0.000068
2025-12-07 7.193046e-06 1.210589e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000040 0.000056 0.000076
2025-12-14 5.293350e-06 9.951744e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000058 0.000082
2025-12-21 3.966278e-06 8.336903e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000041 0.000061 0.000088
2025-12-28 3.066990e-06 7.193544e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000041 0.000064 0.000095
2026-01-04 2.325591e-06 6.137680e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000066 0.000101
2026-01-11 1.869920e-06 5.501312e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000070 0.000109
2026-01-18 1.631702e-06 5.250284e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000076 0.000120
2026-01-25 1.315853e-06 4.738663e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000079 0.000128
2026-02-01 9.850718e-07 4.079131e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000081 0.000133
2026-02-08 6.713219e-07 3.385951e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000048 0.000084 0.000141
2026-02-15 4.747011e-07 2.921799e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000049 0.000089 0.000152
2026-02-22 3.217091e-07 2.489415e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000050 0.000093 0.000162
2026-03-01 1.929093e-07 2.014642e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000095 0.000169
2026-03-08 1.014308e-07 1.566728e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000097 0.000175
2026-03-15 5.062170e-08 1.234908e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000098 0.000181
2026-03-22 2.498779e-08 1.008413e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000050 0.000101 0.000189
2026-03-29 9.903071e-09 7.982987e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000050 0.000104 0.000196
2026-04-05 4.215891e-09 6.812719e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000051 0.000108 0.000207
2026-04-12 2.375292e-09 6.444985e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000115 0.000223
2026-04-19 6.807887e-10 5.494587e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000120 0.000234